Their set list changes greatly from one show to the next, most of the time they are still arguing about it until right before they come onstage to perform for the night. They have always been sticklers about having flow and progression of lyrics and music within an album in order for it to build up to something complete and get pretty PO'd at you if you listen to the songs out of order. In the same way, when they are picking songs across multiple albums for these shows, they most likely have some music/lyrical theme in mind that will influence their final set list. I can also pretty much guarantee that they that the set list for weekend 2 will be quite different as well... I'm going to be at their LA, Coachella, Tempe, Tuscon and San Diego shows, hope to see you all out there supporting them.
But if he's coming out and saying something like this:
It doesn't seem to me like they give a shit about appeasing their casual fans. And because they haven't sustained success like Radiohead would make me think that gives them LESS a reason to play the song, out of disappointment that the United States treats them like a one hit wonder.
Though, there is a much better chance of them playing "Laid" than of Radiohead playing "Creep." That's for sure.
Given their attendance figures, it appears that they have about 300 more-than-casual fans at any one venue. It would seem to me that they should turn those casual fans into something more. Bill Veeck (legendary baseball owner and showman) used to say something like "if you catered to only the most ardent fans, you'd go broke in a few weeks."